We fired up and ready to go! Yes, another NFL season is in our midst as we wind down another NFL offseason and preseason football. Although our private NFL Fantasy league already drafted at the beginning of the month, NFL Fantasy football is all the rage these days! With that, comes the Adrian Peterson bandwagon that everyone seems to be piling on to, as of late. His past is but a memory, although his off-the-field issues still seem to lurk in the news.
But here we go, our SafePicks.com 2015 NFL prediction: Adrian Peterson will have a less-than-stellar season, one that may be poisoned and/or shortened with injury. So if you plan to draft Adrian Peterson, especially if you have the first pick in your NFL Fantasy league, do so with caution. Having had the pleasure of the first pick in our NFL Fantasy league draft, we avoided him with pleasure. Guess we’ll see if we were right to do so… soon enough.
Before some of you seethe or even scold us for our bold prediction here, although we may not the be-all-end-all authority in NFL Fantasy football, we do know a thing or two on the subject. As background, SafePicks.com finished FIRST last season in our NFL Fantasy League, we came second the season before, and we finished top three in the last five of six seasons. So, we will do what we do, (making successful NFL predictions and NFL Fantasy predictions) and we will go out on a limb as we have, (win or lose) making such a bold prediction about Adrian Peterson. That’s what we do, we make successful NFL predictions. It’s a case of buyer beware. Why? For several reasons.
First off, AP has a huge chip on the shoulder. He is a man on a mission now that he’s back on the field. But sometimes such an overly determined mindset does not ultimately bode well for performance and stat sheets, based on our research, and even history itself. We’ve seen players try to do too much before and it did not serve them well in the long run, in terms of success and/or in health. There is nothing worse than over-thinking it in NFL football especially in your all-out quest with something to prove. In AP’s case, his mission will be to out-perform and then welcome the post-game media – only to field questions about his mired personal past. Just you wait and see, Adrian Peterson will be trying to bite his tongue in those post game pressers which will only fuel his restless mental state. Oh sure, AP is going to ‘give it’ and give it good in the heat of such self-imposed pressure. But that mentality could potentially be his undoing. When we make successful NFL predictions and we make many, this would be classified as the psychological angle we use in our assessment of a game or player.
Then, secondly, if you believe in Poker gods, Golf gods, and even Football gods (don’t laugh), then the luck factor is a funny & unpredictable type of thing. Think on it, the gods of poker and golf have already made examples of a few big names, (Woods, Ivey, etc. just to name a few – for their own fall-from-grace reasons). In fact, Tiger Woods is arguably a great example of what happens when you tempt fate and success, outside the game. In that same vein, could one wonder if those Football gods plan to make an example of AP given his well documented personal issues? With that to ponder, we find it absolutely stunning that he’s garnering so much fantasy football attention, going off as number one in so many mock drafts, NFL fantasy (Tier 1) ranking polls, and the like. Heck, even NFL.com has him top-ranking, how ironic is that by the way? Everybody is jumping on the AP bandwagon!
Will Adrian Peterson put up some numbers? Absolutely! Will the same AP have some breakout games? Certainly. But will Peterson have the year (for the ages) that a majority of fantasy players are banking on? We don’t believe so. In this great sport we call NFL football, let’s not put the proverbial cart before the horse. The killer, in the world of NFL predictions, is gut feeling or assumption. Both are avid mothers of evil when making NFL predictions, so we believe. AP is AP, no question. But the jury is still out on Adrian Peterson, for a couple of more weeks only. Then the world will see how wrong (or right) we may be. Not long now. As instinct would have it, we’re supposed to forget the off-the-field stuff and go all-in on Adrian Peterson. Right? But SafePicks.com cannot do such a thing, win or lose. He’s a 30 year old back, drafted in the first round of the 2007 draft, (just like Marshawn Lynch). For both, this is their ninth year. Make no mistake though, Adrian Peterson was on track to becoming the best back ever to run with the ball. Then, a torn ACL, news of a child’s death, and then later, child abuse charges came and all of this put a dent on his chances of reigning supreme on the ground. With a full year off, he is back and more determined than ever to make a point. But tread carefully, proceed with caution. Whether it be Lynch or another, there are better choices for our NFL Fantasy league dollars! Good luck from SafePicks.com!
(If you want to enjoy success, there are more NFL Predictions, simply visit SafePicks.com – a bold many are there and waiting for you!)