NFL SafePicks 2019: OLG ProLine & OLG Pools Picks – Week 4

OLG ProLine Picks & OLG Pools Picks at SafePicks.

This week at SafePicks.com, we have some solid Over Under NFL best bets for OLG Proline players looking to make a score $$.  Since 2003, SafePicks.com has been serving OLG ProLine and all OLG Pools, Props and Point Spread players.  Over 16 years of trusted, reliable and dedicated NFL handicapping.

This week (NFL Week 4) here are a couple of games we like to go OVER the posted total:

WSH @ NYG (OVER 49.5) &  KC @ DET (OVER 54)

Regardless if OLG plays with the numbers, both games should be high scoring affairs.

As many of you know, our successful NFL Week 3 also included a nearly perfect Over/Under NFL Best Bets winning result.  SEE here:  just a couple of OLG ProLine winning tickets from our SafePicks co-founder.  This is just TWO of so many winning OLG ProLine tickets of his this year.  It was such a profitable NFL Week 3 that many SP users scored wins just the same.   Ahhh… that feeling of cashing-in on Tuesdays lol.  🙂

Get your NFL O/U Best Bets and FREE NFL picks this week at SafePicks.com.   No gimmicks.  No tricks.  No nonsense.  No bull.  No ADS.  Get free NFL picks every week including a free OLG Pools Pick.  16 years later:  we are STILL trusted to deliver winning NFL Picks and Predictions.

GOOD LUCK in NFL Week 4!

 

Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints, NFL Week 4 – SafePicks (2019) NFL Prediction

By Bo Jamison, for SafePicks.com.  Sept. 26, 11:44AM EST

A sweet NFC prime time showdown will take place for this coming SNF matchup, (Sunday Night Football).  When the schedule was made, many had this game circled on their calendars, no doubt.  This would have easily been the game of the week!  With the Saints missing Drew Brees at quarterback though, only a little of that prime time limelight-shine has dulled – this still should be a GOOD prime time game.   Make no mistake, the Saints and Cowboys are gearing up for this marquee showdown at the Superdome, a game that features New Orleans as a 2.5-point home underdog.

Amazingly, the New Orleans Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against the Cowboys, which is such a glaring stat.  The Saints are also an impressive 16-3 SU in their last 19 home games overall, under coach Sean Payton.  However, as we know, those stats are a result of having Drew Brees commanding the post under center.  We’ll be the first to tell you, the Cowboys are slowly shaping up to be a formidable Super Bowl contender, but the cupcake teams they have beaten already, (Giants, Redskins and Dolphins) are nothing to get too excited about at this early juncture.  So the Saints should prove to be the real first true test for the Cowboys, on the road.  The Cowboys will also go up against “arguably” one of the league’s best coaching minds in Sean Payton.

America’s Team opened around a field-goal favorite for this prime time game, and the early plays narrowed that spread as low as -2.5 at some select sport books.  If you can get Dallas under a field goal like we did, it would be a lock-in because it should be a good bet. The books have already seen a large amount of public play on the Cowboys and predict the most popular team in football to draw lopsided money versus a Saints team playing without their star QB.

Although we ALL know “on any given Sunday” anything can and will happen – the Saints need only maintain & mitigate their division positioning (a.k.a. “hang on”) until their star in Brees returns.  Also, not to look ahead, but the Saints face their division rival Buccaneers for a critical NFC South showdown next week.

We would love to back the great story that is the Saints and the comeback of Saints backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, (who was minutes away from a leg amputation in the summer of 2016).   As much as we always root for the feel-good stories, we cannot bet with emotions.  Tempting for some.  Even though QB backup Bridgewater was solid in a win at Seattle this past Sunday, this spread will likely creep to Dallas -3.5 by game time.  Low spread, possibly a tight game… and Brees is expected to lead the pregame chant for a raucous 75,000+ crowd at the Superdome.  Still, we are backing the Cowboys -2.5 to win this one.  Good luck.

SafePicks LTD Record: 3722 – 1544
SafePicks NFL Week 3 (last week): 45 – 15 (across the board)

SafePicks has been serving winning NFL Predictions since 2003.  Success does pay – even 16 years later.  No nonsense.  No fluff.  No bull.  Ad free.  Just NFL predictions and free NFL picks, get free NFL picks here.

SafePicks Weekly NFL Pool Picks

As we posted our big win (pic) already at Twitter/SafePicks and Facebook/SafePicks – we had a successful NFL Week 3 at SafePicks, going 41-15 across the board.  Tuesday morning smiles for sure!

Since 2003, we have always played our picks, (in our extracurricular NFL pools and NFL betting activities).  We even have a co-founder who is an avid OLG Pools and OLG ProLine player who won on Over Under.  See SafePicks OLG Pools & ProLine content here.

AND even before the SNF and MNF games even started, we had already won our weekly NFL pool.  No sweating tiebreakers.  Just a sweet and decisive 14-win score!  Congrats to us and all of our SP users who won their pools also – we see there were quite a few of you!  Onto NFL Week 4 as follows:

PHILADELPHIA @ GREEN BAY
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA
WASHINGTON @ NY GIANTS
LOS ANGELES C @ MIAMI
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT
CLEVELAND @ BALTIMORE
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO
TAMPA BAY @ LOS ANGELES R
SEATTLE @ ARIZONA
MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO
JACKSONVILLE @ DENVER
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH

Although our NFL Picks will post tonight at 11pm EST.  Here are some of our early leans from this morning’s round table:  Green Bay should take the win on TNF, while the Chargers get their first win over the hapless Dolphins.  The tricky games to be careful of are the two division games: NE at BUF and the MNF game with CIN at PIT.  The jury is out until 11pm tonight at SP lol.  Good luck to all in Week 4!   SP

 

2019 SafePicks.com User Update

*Important Site Update*

To Our Valued SafePicks Users (Past & Present):

As you may already know, we launched in 2003 with ONLY ONE relentless goal of serving our NFL betting and pools communities with no-nonsense winning NFL picks, (and NCAAF picks and Superbowl predictions).  Over 16 years later, we are still going strong.  And remember, we STILL don’t support ANY form of advertising on site.  We never will.

But some site changes have been made.

Our Website has been updated in all aspects, including a mail server upgrade.  All pages are now functioning normally.   Forums have now been removed.   And for 2019 football season:  we are introducing new features, including DFS Picks and for a limited time only – our one year membership price has been dropped!  Also, SafePicks will return to posting content in other social media platforms.  We want to thank many of you for your feedback and notifications of issues in the last couple of seasons, ALL are fixed up now.

Whether you are a football pool player or a football bettor, don’t be a weekly loser… come join SafePicks for free, be a winner!

We want to wish you all the best in the 2019-2020 football season.  Thank you for your continued & loyal support.  Without it, you, us, we ALL would not be here.  Winning always feels good.  🙂  See you at SafePicks.com.

SafePicks.com Team.

2019 NFL Super Bowl Prediction, SafePicks

2019 NFL Football Conference Predictions And 2019 Super Bowl Prediction Picks (Final, Effective Sept. 2nd, 2019)
Yes, since 2003 – SafePicks.com NFL experts deliver highly successful NFL predictions, NFL picks, and highly successful Super Bowl predictions… now let’s delve into our future NFL playoff predictions for the 2019-2020 NFL football season!  Visit https://safepicks.com for so much more.
  • AFC Division Winners:  Houston, Baltimore, Kansas City, New England
  • NFC Division Winners:  Dallas, New Orleans, St. Louis, Minnesota
  • NFL ‘Surprise’ Comeback Teams (AFC) we’ll be watching (to finish better than last season):  Cleveland
  • NFL ‘Surprise Comeback Teams (NFC) we’ll be watching (to finish better than last season):   Green Bay
  • Super Bowl Prediction (two potential conference finalists – AFC):  New England, Kansas City
  • Super Bowl Prediction (two potential conference finalists – NFC):  Dallas, New Orleans
  • Super Bowl Predictions (Championship Final matchup):   Kansas City, New Orleans
  • Our final prediction for the 2019 Super Bowl winner is:  Kansas City

AFC 2015 NFL Football Season Predictions, Division Winners

Here we go, here is our NFC and AFC 2015 NFL season predictions, (best case scenario vs. worst case scenario format) for every team. We are starting with the AFC then our next post will be the NFC. After piling through a ton of NFL off season assessments and after analyzing our comprehensive (782 page) NFL 32-team preseason book, we believe the following is a solid forecast on how things should settle, give or take a game (AFC):

NFL Prediction – AFC EAST (Final seeding: 1. Bills 2. Patriots 3. Dolphins 4. NY Jets)
AFC East
1. Buffalo
Best Case Scenario: Don’t look now, but there’s a new QB in town (Tyrod Taylor) and this team has all the tangibles (on both sides of the ball) to be a 9 or 10 win team.  One of the toughest defenses to go with some key offensive weapons, toss in a fierce running game – then take all that and sandwich between Rex Ryan’s energy & drive – then this could be a playoff team but…
Worst Case Scenario: the hex could continue with a .500 or worse end of season performance. A quarterback carousel fueled by inconsistency won’t help matters, it never does… the longest playoff drought in football just may continue.

2. New England
Best Case Scenario: Yes, we pulled the trigger here. This is a team that should attain achieve a 9-win season with a Josh McDaniels’ offense and a game plan that changes from week-to-week. Then you have Brady & Belichick – a tried & true duo and cementing a dynasty of a franchise but…
Worst Case Scenario: Replacing key losses on defense will be hard – offensive line leaks will hurt too.  Deflategate needs to go far away and fast too.  Missing the playoffs altogether is not out of the question for this storied franchise.

3. Miami
Best Case Scenario: Combine two top draft picks, with some high priced acquisitions, piggy back off of big offensive improvements last season.. and QB Ryan Tannehill should have what it takes to make the post season. Although this could be a 7-win team, the personnel is in place to make this an 8 or 9 win WildCard team, but…
Worst Case Scenario: A bust of a season may be in store for a team that could very well see coach Joe Philbin and his entire staff sent packing, only to continue the lack of continuity in Miami.

4. NY Jets
Best Case Scenario: Great pass defense, a Chan Gailey offense that elevates Geno Smith’s third year play by utilizing Brandon Marshall to the max could mean a decent late season drive, short of a WildCard berth. This is an 7-win team at best, but…
Worst Case Scenario: Sorry Jets fans, but it seems like Quarterback(s) (or the lack thereof) only continue to plague this team.  Without stability at this position, it’s hard to muster ‎any kind of a postseason run let alone a .500 season.

NFL Prediction – AFC WEST (Final seeding: 1. Chiefs 2. Chargers 3. Broncos 4. Raiders)
AFC West
1. Kansas City
Best Case Scenario: QB Alex Smith will elevate his game as he is plenty capable of doing, while the addition of Jeremy Maclin will help in the air game huge. Andy Reid should have his team poised for an AFC crown with 10 wins or more, we even forecast a winning streak of 6+ games somewhere in the season and a possible Super Bowl appearence, but..
Worst Case Scenario: Injuries might come to plague this team once more, while the play of QB Alex Smith does not elevate as hoped for.. and the defense cannot make up for offseason losses. A losing year will put Andy Reid in the hot seat.

2. San Diego
Best Case Scenario: Rivers has been paid and should lead another strong offensive push behind the ground game of top pick RB Melvin Gordon. This is a 9-win team on paper. In fact, this team could be a late season surprise. We predict a solid post season run for this team and even two wins over Denver in the season series, but..
Worst Case Scenario: The defense lacks the fortitude to solidify a “deep” post season run and the backfield is unproven with rookie back Gordon in the flock. The Chargers fail to make the playoffs again in their farewell year in San Diego.

3. Denver
Best Case Scenario: This team is poised to be a Super Bowl contender heading into this 2015 NFL Season, but something is amiss in Denver. Manning will thrive on offseason tailored schemes to put pressure more off himself and onto others, including a C.J. Anderson-led backfield. Whichever their formula for success, we predict an 8-win season for this team but…
Worst Case Scenario: Manning’s 39 year old body is showing signs of fatigue, and the team has quite a few new faces to adjust to on the coaching side, San Diego could very well be the nemesis for a .500 Denver team this season.

4. Oakland
Best Case Scenario: QB Derek Carr is poised to make waves in Oakland behind an improved O-line, and the defense should improve under the coaching of Jack Del Rio who hopes to turn in at least a .500 season in his first year in Oakland but..
Worst Case Scenario: There are too many contenders in the AFC/West, ahead of the Raiders, preventing them from escaping the basement of the division.

NFL Prediction – AFC NORTH (Final seeding: 1. Bengals 2. Ravens  3. Browns 4. Steelers)

AFC NORTH
1. Cincinnati
Best Case Scenario: Don’t look now, but we do believe the Bengals are set to contend, for real this time. Yes, this would rely on QB Andy Dalton escaping his limitations, eliminating errors and elevating his play this season. This team is formidable on both sides of the ball and a 10-win campaign is not out of the question but…
Worst Case Scenario: This is a brutally bruising division and the Bengals need to avoid injuries to make a deep post season run, let alone a .500 finish.

2. Baltimore
Best Case Scenario: New additions to the offense along with QB Joe Flacco’s play could solidify a strong winning team to contend for the division crown. A 9-win campaign is certainly possible for these AFC contenders but…
Worst Case Scenario: Losing key defensive personnel could hurt this team, judging from the patchwork repairs we have seen in preseason play. There seems to be a pressing of personnel into big-shoe roles and this could prove costly. The Ravens could vie for a WildCard berth or fail to qualify for post season altogether.

3. Cleveland
Best Case Scenario: Make no mistake, if this team can avoid the injury bug and QB Johnny Manziel can play to his strengths in a tailored-to-him offense, the Browns could very well make a legit push for postseason contention or at least be a significant Sleeper team, but..
Worst Case Scenario: Injuries could ruin this team and a more maturated Manziel could be a total failure of a franchise QB in Cleveland, next up.

4. Pittsburgh
Best Case Scenario: A lot of things need to happen if the Steelers intend to capture the division crown. Some promising changes in the secondary along with veteran RB DeAngelo Williams coming to fill-in for suspended Le’Veon Bell should help behind QB Ben Roethlisberger’s attack in an 8 or a lesser 7-win campaign.
Worst Case Scenario: Injury has already claimed C Maurkice Pouncey and if it further claims other personnel – this could be a frustrating & dismal below .500 year for Steelers fans.

NFL Prediction – AFC SOUTH (Final seeding: 1. Colts 2. Texans 3. Jaguars 4. Titans)

AFC SOUTH
1. Indianapolis
Best Case Scenario: QB Andrew Luck needs no introduction and off season changes could propel this team to a Super Bowl appearance. This could very well be an 11-win campaign for the Colts but…
Worst Case Scenario: The defense fails to produce ‘key stops’ and slow opposing offenses while aging veterans show signs of slowness & late season fatigue, this could be a under-performing team in a “one and done” postseason scenario for the Colts.

2. Houston
Best Case Scenario: The Texans are coming off a winning season that utilized a quarterback carousel of sorts. The post season promise land will come for the Texans if they could rely on one solid QB starter (Brian Hoyer) to tie in with a fierce rushing attack, complimenting an above-average defense. That, with little or no impact of injuries could make this a 9-win team and a postseason contender.
Worst Case Scenario: The quarterback carousel continues to spin, although Brian Hoyer is supposed to start over Ryan Mallet. RB Arian Foster is aging and the offensive stat sheet could suffer as a result. The Texans could very well make .500 but miss the playoffs yet again.

3. Jacksonville
Best Case Scenario: QB Blake Bortles in a second year role could pay dividends, if both the O and D lines can improve from last year, this could very well be a .500 team with 8 wins – which would be a significant improvement from yesteryears.
Worst Case Scenario: An atrocious defense could ruin this team’s chances of .500 success and if Bortles fails to impress, the Jags will be competing with Tennessee for the division’s cellar dweller position.

4. Tennessee
Best Case Scenario: Could QB Marcus Mariota be the one to take the Titans to the postseason? If the offensive line has improved as we have assessed so, then why not? If the defense could play formidably under Dick LeBeau’s scheming, then the Titans could potentially be knocking on the door of a mathematical playoff berth with 8-wins but…
Worst Case Scenario: Mariota might be plagued by typical rookie failure and the O-line might not hold up in strength for the entire season. We project this team to be at the bottom of the AFC South with a below .500 season.

See you at SafePicks.com!

Adrian Peterson 2015 NFL Prediction, NFL Fantasy Football Prediction, Making A Case To Avoid AP?

We fired up and ready to go!  Yes, another NFL season is in our midst as we wind down another NFL offseason and preseason football.  Although our private NFL Fantasy league already drafted at the beginning of the month, NFL Fantasy football is all the rage these days!  With that, comes the Adrian Peterson bandwagon that everyone seems to be piling on to, as of late.  His past is but a memory, although his off-the-field issues still seem to lurk in the news.

But here we go, our SafePicks.com 2015 NFL prediction: Adrian Peterson will have a less-than-stellar season, one that may be poisoned and/or shortened with injury.  So if you plan to draft Adrian Peterson, especially if you have the first pick in your NFL Fantasy league, do so with caution.  Having had the pleasure of the first pick in our NFL Fantasy league draft, we avoided him with pleasure. Guess we’ll see if we were right to do so… soon enough.

Before some of you seethe or even scold us for our bold prediction here, although we may not the be-all-end-all authority in NFL Fantasy football, we do know a thing or two on the subject.  As background, SafePicks.com finished FIRST last season in our NFL Fantasy League, we came second the season before, and we finished top three in the last five of six seasons. So, we will do what we do, (making successful NFL predictions and NFL Fantasy predictions) and we will go out on a limb as we have, (win or lose) making such a bold prediction about Adrian Peterson.  That’s what we do, we make successful NFL predictions.  It’s a case of buyer beware. Why?  For several reasons.

First off, AP has a huge chip on the shoulder.  He is a man on a mission now that he’s back on the field.  But sometimes such an overly determined mindset does not ultimately bode well for performance and stat sheets, based on our research, and even history itself.  We’ve seen players try to do too much before and it did not serve them well in the long run, in terms of success and/or in health.  There is nothing worse than over-thinking it in NFL football especially in your all-out quest with something to prove.  In AP’s case, his mission will be to out-perform and then welcome the post-game media – only to field questions about his mired personal past.  Just you wait and see, Adrian Peterson will be trying to bite his tongue in those post game pressers which will only fuel his restless mental state.  Oh sure, AP is going to ‘give it’ and give it good in the heat of such self-imposed pressure.  But that mentality could potentially be his undoing.  When we make successful NFL predictions and we make many, this would be classified as the psychological angle ‎we use in our assessment of a game or player.

Then, secondly, if you believe in Poker gods, Golf gods, and even Football gods (don’t laugh), then the luck factor is a funny & unpredictable type of thing. Think on it, the gods of poker and golf have already made examples of a few big names, (Woods, Ivey, etc. just to name a few – for their own fall-from-grace reasons).  In fact, Tiger Woods is arguably a great example of what happens when you tempt fate and success, outside the game.  In that same vein, could one wonder if those Football gods plan to make an example of AP given his well documented personal issues?  With that to ponder, we find it absolutely stunning that he’s garnering so much fantasy football attention, going off as number one in so many mock drafts, NFL fantasy (Tier 1) ranking polls, and the like.  ‎Heck, even NFL.com has him top-ranking, how ironic is that by the way?  Everybody is jumping on the AP bandwagon!

Will Adrian Peterson put up some numbers?  Absolutely!  Will the same AP have some breakout games?  Certainly.  But will Peterson have the year (for the ages) that a majority of fantasy players are banking on?  We don’t believe so.  In this great sport we call NFL football, let’s not put the proverbial cart before the horse.  The killer, in the world of NFL predictions, is gut feeling or assumption.  Both are avid mothers of evil when making NFL predictions, so we believe.  AP is AP, no question.  But the jury is still out on Adrian Peterson, for a couple of more weeks only.  Then the world will see how wrong (or right) we may be.  Not long now.   As instinct would have it, we’re supposed to forget the off-the-field stuff and go all-in on Adrian Peterson.  Right?  But SafePicks.com cannot do such a thing, win or lose.  He’s a 30 year old back, drafted in the first round of the 2007 draft, (just like Marshawn Lynch).  For both, this is their ninth year.  Make no mistake though, Adrian Peterson was on track to becoming the best back ever to ‎run with the ball.  Then, a torn ACL, news of a child’s death, and then later, child abuse charges came and all of this put a dent on his chances of reigning supreme on the ground.  With a full year off, he is back and more determined than ever to make a point.  But tread carefully, proceed with caution.  Whether it be Lynch or another, there are better choices for our NFL Fantasy league dollars!  Good luck from SafePicks.com!

(If you want to enjoy success, there are more NFL Predictions, simply visit SafePicks.com – a bold many are there and waiting for you!)