NFL SafePicks 2019: OLG ProLine & OLG Pools Picks – Week 4

OLG ProLine Picks & OLG Pools Picks at SafePicks.

This week at SafePicks.com, we have some solid Over Under NFL best bets for OLG Proline players looking to make a score $$.  Since 2003, SafePicks.com has been serving OLG ProLine and all OLG Pools, Props and Point Spread players.  Over 16 years of trusted, reliable and dedicated NFL handicapping.

This week (NFL Week 4) here are a couple of games we like to go OVER the posted total:

WSH @ NYG (OVER 49.5) &  KC @ DET (OVER 54)

Regardless if OLG plays with the numbers, both games should be high scoring affairs.

As many of you know, our successful NFL Week 3 also included a nearly perfect Over/Under NFL Best Bets winning result.  SEE here:  just a couple of OLG ProLine winning tickets from our SafePicks co-founder.  This is just TWO of so many winning OLG ProLine tickets of his this year.  It was such a profitable NFL Week 3 that many SP users scored wins just the same.   Ahhh… that feeling of cashing-in on Tuesdays lol.  🙂

Get your NFL O/U Best Bets and FREE NFL picks this week at SafePicks.com.   No gimmicks.  No tricks.  No nonsense.  No bull.  No ADS.  Get free NFL picks every week including a free OLG Pools Pick.  16 years later:  we are STILL trusted to deliver winning NFL Picks and Predictions.

GOOD LUCK in NFL Week 4!

 

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Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints, NFL Week 4 – SafePicks (2019) NFL Prediction

By Bo Jamison, for SafePicks.com.  Sept. 26, 11:44AM EST

A sweet NFC prime time showdown will take place for this coming SNF matchup, (Sunday Night Football).  When the schedule was made, many had this game circled on their calendars, no doubt.  This would have easily been the game of the week!  With the Saints missing Drew Brees at quarterback though, only a little of that prime time limelight-shine has dulled – this still should be a GOOD prime time game.   Make no mistake, the Saints and Cowboys are gearing up for this marquee showdown at the Superdome, a game that features New Orleans as a 2.5-point home underdog.

Amazingly, the New Orleans Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against the Cowboys, which is such a glaring stat.  The Saints are also an impressive 16-3 SU in their last 19 home games overall, under coach Sean Payton.  However, as we know, those stats are a result of having Drew Brees commanding the post under center.  We’ll be the first to tell you, the Cowboys are slowly shaping up to be a formidable Super Bowl contender, but the cupcake teams they have beaten already, (Giants, Redskins and Dolphins) are nothing to get too excited about at this early juncture.  So the Saints should prove to be the real first true test for the Cowboys, on the road.  The Cowboys will also go up against “arguably” one of the league’s best coaching minds in Sean Payton.

America’s Team opened around a field-goal favorite for this prime time game, and the early plays narrowed that spread as low as -2.5 at some select sport books.  If you can get Dallas under a field goal like we did, it would be a lock-in because it should be a good bet. The books have already seen a large amount of public play on the Cowboys and predict the most popular team in football to draw lopsided money versus a Saints team playing without their star QB.

Although we ALL know “on any given Sunday” anything can and will happen – the Saints need only maintain & mitigate their division positioning (a.k.a. “hang on”) until their star in Brees returns.  Also, not to look ahead, but the Saints face their division rival Buccaneers for a critical NFC South showdown next week.

We would love to back the great story that is the Saints and the comeback of Saints backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, (who was minutes away from a leg amputation in the summer of 2016).   As much as we always root for the feel-good stories, we cannot bet with emotions.  Tempting for some.  Even though QB backup Bridgewater was solid in a win at Seattle this past Sunday, this spread will likely creep to Dallas -3.5 by game time.  Low spread, possibly a tight game… and Brees is expected to lead the pregame chant for a raucous 75,000+ crowd at the Superdome.  Still, we are backing the Cowboys -2.5 to win this one.  Good luck.

SafePicks LTD Record: 3722 – 1544
SafePicks NFL Week 3 (last week): 45 – 15 (across the board)

SafePicks has been serving winning NFL Predictions since 2003.  Success does pay – even 16 years later.  No nonsense.  No fluff.  No bull.  Ad free.  Just NFL predictions and free NFL picks, get free NFL picks here.

SafePicks Weekly NFL Pool Picks

As we posted our big win (pic) already at Twitter/SafePicks and Facebook/SafePicks – we had a successful NFL Week 3 at SafePicks, going 41-15 across the board.  Tuesday morning smiles for sure!

Since 2003, we have always played our picks, (in our extracurricular NFL pools and NFL betting activities).  We even have a co-founder who is an avid OLG Pools and OLG ProLine player who won on Over Under.  See SafePicks OLG Pools & ProLine content here.

AND even before the SNF and MNF games even started, we had already won our weekly NFL pool.  No sweating tiebreakers.  Just a sweet and decisive 14-win score!  Congrats to us and all of our SP users who won their pools also – we see there were quite a few of you!  Onto NFL Week 4 as follows:

PHILADELPHIA @ GREEN BAY
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA
WASHINGTON @ NY GIANTS
LOS ANGELES C @ MIAMI
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT
CLEVELAND @ BALTIMORE
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO
TAMPA BAY @ LOS ANGELES R
SEATTLE @ ARIZONA
MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO
JACKSONVILLE @ DENVER
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH

Although our NFL Picks will post tonight at 11pm EST.  Here are some of our early leans from this morning’s round table:  Green Bay should take the win on TNF, while the Chargers get their first win over the hapless Dolphins.  The tricky games to be careful of are the two division games: NE at BUF and the MNF game with CIN at PIT.  The jury is out until 11pm tonight at SP lol.  Good luck to all in Week 4!   SP

 

2019 SafePicks.com User Update

*Important Site Update*

To Our Valued SafePicks Users (Past & Present):

As you may already know, we launched in 2003 with ONLY ONE relentless goal of serving our NFL betting and pools communities with no-nonsense winning NFL picks, (and NCAAF picks and Superbowl predictions).  Over 16 years later, we are still going strong.  And remember, we STILL don’t support ANY form of advertising on site.  We never will.

But some site changes have been made.

Our Website has been updated in all aspects, including a mail server upgrade.  All pages are now functioning normally.   Forums have now been removed.   And for 2019 football season:  we are introducing new features, including DFS Picks and for a limited time only – our one year membership price has been dropped!  Also, SafePicks will return to posting content in other social media platforms.  We want to thank many of you for your feedback and notifications of issues in the last couple of seasons, ALL are fixed up now.

Whether you are a football pool player or a football bettor, don’t be a weekly loser… come join SafePicks for free, be a winner!

We want to wish you all the best in the 2019-2020 football season.  Thank you for your continued & loyal support.  Without it, you, us, we ALL would not be here.  Winning always feels good.  🙂  See you at SafePicks.com.

SafePicks.com Team.

2019 NFL Super Bowl Prediction, SafePicks

2019 NFL Football Conference Predictions And 2019 Super Bowl Prediction Picks (Final, Effective Sept. 2nd, 2019)
Yes, since 2003 – SafePicks.com NFL experts deliver highly successful NFL predictions, NFL picks, and highly successful Super Bowl predictions… now let’s delve into our future NFL playoff predictions for the 2019-2020 NFL football season!  Visit https://safepicks.com for so much more.
  • AFC Division Winners:  Houston, Baltimore, Kansas City, New England
  • NFC Division Winners:  Dallas, New Orleans, St. Louis, Minnesota
  • NFL ‘Surprise’ Comeback Teams (AFC) we’ll be watching (to finish better than last season):  Cleveland
  • NFL ‘Surprise Comeback Teams (NFC) we’ll be watching (to finish better than last season):   Green Bay
  • Super Bowl Prediction (two potential conference finalists – AFC):  New England, Kansas City
  • Super Bowl Prediction (two potential conference finalists – NFC):  Dallas, New Orleans
  • Super Bowl Predictions (Championship Final matchup):   Kansas City, New Orleans
  • Our final prediction for the 2019 Super Bowl winner is:  Kansas City

NFC 2015 NFL Football Season Predictions, Division Winners

Here we go again, here is our NFC 2015 NFL season predictions, (best case scenario vs. worst case scenario format) for every team. We are on the NFC.  After piling through a ton of NFL off season assessments and after analyzing our comprehensive (782 page) NFL 32-team preseason book, we believe the following is a solid forecast on how things should settle, give or take a game (NFC):

NFL Prediction – NFC EAST (Final seeding: 1. Eagles  2. Cowboys  3. NY Giants  4. Redskins)

NFC EAST
1. Philadelphia
Best Case Scenario: Head coach Chip Kelly is poised to have this team vie for a deep post season run thanks to off season acquisitions. This could very well be an 11-win team when all is said and done. This team looks solid on both defense and offense and if QB Sam Bradford proves to be the vital missing component to the Eagles offense, look for this team to go places in 2015 as division champs and beyond but…
Worst Case Scenario: Sam Bradford could very well be a failure on arrival and offseason acquisitions do not pan out for Chip Kelly in another failed year.

2. Dallas
Best Case Scenario: All the weapons are in place in both the offensive and defensive side of the ball. We do project a postseason run for the ‘Boys, a potential deep one at that. This will be a 9-win WildCard team, but…
Worst Case Scenario: Early in the offseason, QB Tony Romo predicted the Cowboys to make it to the Super Bowl and coupled with the Greg Hardy acquisition, bad luck karma may be in store. This Cowboys team may end up being a .500 team led by an equally over rated coach in Jason Garrett.

3. NY Giants
Best Case Scenario: QB Eli Manning needs to have an improved season and solidify himself as the bonafide NY Giants starter for seasons to come. The NY Giants could potentially make a strong playoff run and if not, a “mathematical” WildCard berth is not out of the question with 8-wins.
Worst Case Scenario: The injury bug returns to claim another 20 something players, (last season – 22 injuries). The defense remains inconsistent and coach Tom Coughlin is finally fired after a dismal 4 or 5-win campaign.

4. Washington
Best Case Scenario: A playoff berth seems to be a bit of a stretch, but a couple of moral victory outcomes (if those even exist) may help this team in the form of a 5 or 6-win season.
Worst Case Scenario: The quarterback position continues to be a disaster and the Redskins continue to remain the division’s cellar dweller with loads of work to do in 2016.

NFL Prediction – NFC WEST (Final Seeding 1. Cardinals  2. Seahawks  3. Rams  4. 49ers)

NFC West
1. Arizona
Best Case Scenario: The Cardinals avoid injuries and become a legit threat to contend for deep postseason play and attain 10 or 11-wins for their efforts.  Heck, Bruce Arians may be #1 in coach-of-the-year balloting too, but..
Worst Case Scenario: The Cardinals fail to get it together with QB Carson Palmer sub standard play and injuries decimate this team to give them a .500 season.

2. Seattle
Best Case Scenario: The Seahawks are poised to make another deep postseason run as last year’s gaffe in the final seconds of the Super Bowl is but a memory. With the addition of TE Jimmy Graham, the Seahawks should be a Top 5 offense in both rushing and passing the ball. This is an 10-win team here but…
Worst Case Scenario: Seattle’s defense and offense will be only as good as the healthy personnel that support it and injuries could come to plague team. If head coach Pete Carroll did not learn from prior play-calling mistakes, then play calling with be this team’s undoing for a postseason early exit.

3. St. Louis
Best Case Scenario: The Rams have an improved season led by a formidable defense and a capable QB in Nick Foles which helps them to finally crack post season contention in a WildCard capacity. We certainly could see this team getting 8 wins this season, especially as a Dark Horse sleeper team, but…
Worst Case Scenario: The Rams under-perform and fail to make the postseason thanks to a miserable campaign ending with 9-losses or more.

4. San Francisco
Best Case Scenario: Enter new head coach Jim Tomsula to take over for ousted Jim Harbaugh and the Niners should have what it takes to make post season. This is an 8-win mathematical WildCard team at best and coach Tomsula would be so deserving (an awesome good guy) but…
Worst Case Scenario: The Niners continue to rebuild with a valiant first year under Tomsula.

NFL Prediction – NFC NORTH (Final Seeding: 1. Packers  2. Lions  3. Vikings  4. Bears)

NFC North
1. Green Bay
Best Case Scenario: This is an 11-win team, even with the absence of WR Jordy Nelson. If the Packers could add ferocity to their 2015 campaign, this could be a Super Bowl finalist but…
Worst Case Scenario: They need to get over the lingering sting of last season’s playoff loss to the Seahawks and not fall prey to the injury bug or this is an 8 or 9-win team at best.

2. Detroit
Best Case Scenario: Detroit has what it takes to be a formidable scoring team thanks to one of the best offenses in the NFL. We believe this is a 9-win team and the Lions clinch another postseason spot but…
Worst Case Scenario: The departure of key defensive personnel may put this team in the hole early and with a hole to deep to get out from.. and the Lions fall to the NFC North’s basement.

3. Minnesota
Best Case Scenario: See our post on Adrian Peterson. With an improved defense and a Norv Turner offense, Teddy Bridgewater has all the offensive weapons to make the Vikings a viable contender and potentially an 8-win mathematical WildCard team but…
Worst Case Scenario: Peterson is a bust and Bridgewater is over rated leading the under-performing Vikings to a failed regular season effort.

4. Chicago
Best Case Scenario: QB Jay Cutler is back with an new supporting cast to give the Bears a worthy offensive air and ground attack. Coach John Fox is no stranger to postseason contention, and the Bears should get in with an 8-win campaign but…
Worst Case Scenario: A total top to bottom rebuild is required as the Bears finish with a 5 or 6-win effort and look to 2016.

Prediction – NFC SOUTH (Final Seeding: 1. Saints  2. Buccaneers  3. Panthers  4. Falcons

NFC South
1. New Orleans
Best Case Scenario: QB Drew Brees and Head Coach Sean Payton still have lots of fuel in the tank as a tandem. If the defense improves (as planned) and the offense continues to be tops, then this is a division winning team with 10-wins but…
Worst Case Scenario: All the changes in the offense and a defense that has not improved – makes this a team that will be lucky if they secure a WildCard berth with 9-wins or less.

2. Tampa Bay:
Best Case Scenario: All eyes are on new QB Jameis Winston who has a capable supporting cast to throw to and if the defense could hold the fort then this should be a .500 (or better) sleeper team with 8 wins or more, but…
Worst Case Scenario: This could be a work in progress for the new quarterback and the defense for which a .500 season could be in order and a further rebuild in 2016.

3. Carolina
Best Case Scenario: The Panthers are a viable post season contender, although the loss of WR Kelvin Benjamin does not help. QB Cam Newton has plenty of weapons to work with while the Panthers should have a formidable defense to stay in division contention all season long with an 8-win record but…
Worst Case Scenario: The Panthers inability to make offseason improvements might be their undoing in a failed postseason bid.

4. Atlanta
Best Case Scenario: A positive change on the defensive end with the arrival of new head coach Dan Quinn. Although many pundits have Atlanta winning the division, we have them looking at a .500 season and a possible WildCard entry but…
Worst Case Scenario: This team is theoretically in rebuilding mode and could be cementing the building blocks towards an even better 2016 season.

See you at SafePicks.com!

AFC 2015 NFL Football Season Predictions, Division Winners

Here we go, here is our NFC and AFC 2015 NFL season predictions, (best case scenario vs. worst case scenario format) for every team. We are starting with the AFC then our next post will be the NFC. After piling through a ton of NFL off season assessments and after analyzing our comprehensive (782 page) NFL 32-team preseason book, we believe the following is a solid forecast on how things should settle, give or take a game (AFC):

NFL Prediction – AFC EAST (Final seeding: 1. Bills 2. Patriots 3. Dolphins 4. NY Jets)
AFC East
1. Buffalo
Best Case Scenario: Don’t look now, but there’s a new QB in town (Tyrod Taylor) and this team has all the tangibles (on both sides of the ball) to be a 9 or 10 win team.  One of the toughest defenses to go with some key offensive weapons, toss in a fierce running game – then take all that and sandwich between Rex Ryan’s energy & drive – then this could be a playoff team but…
Worst Case Scenario: the hex could continue with a .500 or worse end of season performance. A quarterback carousel fueled by inconsistency won’t help matters, it never does… the longest playoff drought in football just may continue.

2. New England
Best Case Scenario: Yes, we pulled the trigger here. This is a team that should attain achieve a 9-win season with a Josh McDaniels’ offense and a game plan that changes from week-to-week. Then you have Brady & Belichick – a tried & true duo and cementing a dynasty of a franchise but…
Worst Case Scenario: Replacing key losses on defense will be hard – offensive line leaks will hurt too.  Deflategate needs to go far away and fast too.  Missing the playoffs altogether is not out of the question for this storied franchise.

3. Miami
Best Case Scenario: Combine two top draft picks, with some high priced acquisitions, piggy back off of big offensive improvements last season.. and QB Ryan Tannehill should have what it takes to make the post season. Although this could be a 7-win team, the personnel is in place to make this an 8 or 9 win WildCard team, but…
Worst Case Scenario: A bust of a season may be in store for a team that could very well see coach Joe Philbin and his entire staff sent packing, only to continue the lack of continuity in Miami.

4. NY Jets
Best Case Scenario: Great pass defense, a Chan Gailey offense that elevates Geno Smith’s third year play by utilizing Brandon Marshall to the max could mean a decent late season drive, short of a WildCard berth. This is an 7-win team at best, but…
Worst Case Scenario: Sorry Jets fans, but it seems like Quarterback(s) (or the lack thereof) only continue to plague this team.  Without stability at this position, it’s hard to muster ‎any kind of a postseason run let alone a .500 season.

NFL Prediction – AFC WEST (Final seeding: 1. Chiefs 2. Chargers 3. Broncos 4. Raiders)
AFC West
1. Kansas City
Best Case Scenario: QB Alex Smith will elevate his game as he is plenty capable of doing, while the addition of Jeremy Maclin will help in the air game huge. Andy Reid should have his team poised for an AFC crown with 10 wins or more, we even forecast a winning streak of 6+ games somewhere in the season and a possible Super Bowl appearence, but..
Worst Case Scenario: Injuries might come to plague this team once more, while the play of QB Alex Smith does not elevate as hoped for.. and the defense cannot make up for offseason losses. A losing year will put Andy Reid in the hot seat.

2. San Diego
Best Case Scenario: Rivers has been paid and should lead another strong offensive push behind the ground game of top pick RB Melvin Gordon. This is a 9-win team on paper. In fact, this team could be a late season surprise. We predict a solid post season run for this team and even two wins over Denver in the season series, but..
Worst Case Scenario: The defense lacks the fortitude to solidify a “deep” post season run and the backfield is unproven with rookie back Gordon in the flock. The Chargers fail to make the playoffs again in their farewell year in San Diego.

3. Denver
Best Case Scenario: This team is poised to be a Super Bowl contender heading into this 2015 NFL Season, but something is amiss in Denver. Manning will thrive on offseason tailored schemes to put pressure more off himself and onto others, including a C.J. Anderson-led backfield. Whichever their formula for success, we predict an 8-win season for this team but…
Worst Case Scenario: Manning’s 39 year old body is showing signs of fatigue, and the team has quite a few new faces to adjust to on the coaching side, San Diego could very well be the nemesis for a .500 Denver team this season.

4. Oakland
Best Case Scenario: QB Derek Carr is poised to make waves in Oakland behind an improved O-line, and the defense should improve under the coaching of Jack Del Rio who hopes to turn in at least a .500 season in his first year in Oakland but..
Worst Case Scenario: There are too many contenders in the AFC/West, ahead of the Raiders, preventing them from escaping the basement of the division.

NFL Prediction – AFC NORTH (Final seeding: 1. Bengals 2. Ravens  3. Browns 4. Steelers)

AFC NORTH
1. Cincinnati
Best Case Scenario: Don’t look now, but we do believe the Bengals are set to contend, for real this time. Yes, this would rely on QB Andy Dalton escaping his limitations, eliminating errors and elevating his play this season. This team is formidable on both sides of the ball and a 10-win campaign is not out of the question but…
Worst Case Scenario: This is a brutally bruising division and the Bengals need to avoid injuries to make a deep post season run, let alone a .500 finish.

2. Baltimore
Best Case Scenario: New additions to the offense along with QB Joe Flacco’s play could solidify a strong winning team to contend for the division crown. A 9-win campaign is certainly possible for these AFC contenders but…
Worst Case Scenario: Losing key defensive personnel could hurt this team, judging from the patchwork repairs we have seen in preseason play. There seems to be a pressing of personnel into big-shoe roles and this could prove costly. The Ravens could vie for a WildCard berth or fail to qualify for post season altogether.

3. Cleveland
Best Case Scenario: Make no mistake, if this team can avoid the injury bug and QB Johnny Manziel can play to his strengths in a tailored-to-him offense, the Browns could very well make a legit push for postseason contention or at least be a significant Sleeper team, but..
Worst Case Scenario: Injuries could ruin this team and a more maturated Manziel could be a total failure of a franchise QB in Cleveland, next up.

4. Pittsburgh
Best Case Scenario: A lot of things need to happen if the Steelers intend to capture the division crown. Some promising changes in the secondary along with veteran RB DeAngelo Williams coming to fill-in for suspended Le’Veon Bell should help behind QB Ben Roethlisberger’s attack in an 8 or a lesser 7-win campaign.
Worst Case Scenario: Injury has already claimed C Maurkice Pouncey and if it further claims other personnel – this could be a frustrating & dismal below .500 year for Steelers fans.

NFL Prediction – AFC SOUTH (Final seeding: 1. Colts 2. Texans 3. Jaguars 4. Titans)

AFC SOUTH
1. Indianapolis
Best Case Scenario: QB Andrew Luck needs no introduction and off season changes could propel this team to a Super Bowl appearance. This could very well be an 11-win campaign for the Colts but…
Worst Case Scenario: The defense fails to produce ‘key stops’ and slow opposing offenses while aging veterans show signs of slowness & late season fatigue, this could be a under-performing team in a “one and done” postseason scenario for the Colts.

2. Houston
Best Case Scenario: The Texans are coming off a winning season that utilized a quarterback carousel of sorts. The post season promise land will come for the Texans if they could rely on one solid QB starter (Brian Hoyer) to tie in with a fierce rushing attack, complimenting an above-average defense. That, with little or no impact of injuries could make this a 9-win team and a postseason contender.
Worst Case Scenario: The quarterback carousel continues to spin, although Brian Hoyer is supposed to start over Ryan Mallet. RB Arian Foster is aging and the offensive stat sheet could suffer as a result. The Texans could very well make .500 but miss the playoffs yet again.

3. Jacksonville
Best Case Scenario: QB Blake Bortles in a second year role could pay dividends, if both the O and D lines can improve from last year, this could very well be a .500 team with 8 wins – which would be a significant improvement from yesteryears.
Worst Case Scenario: An atrocious defense could ruin this team’s chances of .500 success and if Bortles fails to impress, the Jags will be competing with Tennessee for the division’s cellar dweller position.

4. Tennessee
Best Case Scenario: Could QB Marcus Mariota be the one to take the Titans to the postseason? If the offensive line has improved as we have assessed so, then why not? If the defense could play formidably under Dick LeBeau’s scheming, then the Titans could potentially be knocking on the door of a mathematical playoff berth with 8-wins but…
Worst Case Scenario: Mariota might be plagued by typical rookie failure and the O-line might not hold up in strength for the entire season. We project this team to be at the bottom of the AFC South with a below .500 season.

See you at SafePicks.com!