Adrian Peterson 2015 NFL Prediction, NFL Fantasy Football Prediction, Making A Case To Avoid AP?

We fired up and ready to go!  Yes, another NFL season is in our midst as we wind down another NFL offseason and preseason football.  Although our private NFL Fantasy league already drafted at the beginning of the month, NFL Fantasy football is all the rage these days!  With that, comes the Adrian Peterson bandwagon that everyone seems to be piling on to, as of late.  His past is but a memory, although his off-the-field issues still seem to lurk in the news.

But here we go, our SafePicks.com 2015 NFL prediction: Adrian Peterson will have a less-than-stellar season, one that may be poisoned and/or shortened with injury.  So if you plan to draft Adrian Peterson, especially if you have the first pick in your NFL Fantasy league, do so with caution.  Having had the pleasure of the first pick in our NFL Fantasy league draft, we avoided him with pleasure. Guess we’ll see if we were right to do so… soon enough.

Before some of you seethe or even scold us for our bold prediction here, although we may not the be-all-end-all authority in NFL Fantasy football, we do know a thing or two on the subject.  As background, SafePicks.com finished FIRST last season in our NFL Fantasy League, we came second the season before, and we finished top three in the last five of six seasons. So, we will do what we do, (making successful NFL predictions and NFL Fantasy predictions) and we will go out on a limb as we have, (win or lose) making such a bold prediction about Adrian Peterson.  That’s what we do, we make successful NFL predictions.  It’s a case of buyer beware. Why?  For several reasons.

First off, AP has a huge chip on the shoulder.  He is a man on a mission now that he’s back on the field.  But sometimes such an overly determined mindset does not ultimately bode well for performance and stat sheets, based on our research, and even history itself.  We’ve seen players try to do too much before and it did not serve them well in the long run, in terms of success and/or in health.  There is nothing worse than over-thinking it in NFL football especially in your all-out quest with something to prove.  In AP’s case, his mission will be to out-perform and then welcome the post-game media – only to field questions about his mired personal past.  Just you wait and see, Adrian Peterson will be trying to bite his tongue in those post game pressers which will only fuel his restless mental state.  Oh sure, AP is going to ‘give it’ and give it good in the heat of such self-imposed pressure.  But that mentality could potentially be his undoing.  When we make successful NFL predictions and we make many, this would be classified as the psychological angle ‎we use in our assessment of a game or player.

Then, secondly, if you believe in Poker gods, Golf gods, and even Football gods (don’t laugh), then the luck factor is a funny & unpredictable type of thing. Think on it, the gods of poker and golf have already made examples of a few big names, (Woods, Ivey, etc. just to name a few – for their own fall-from-grace reasons).  In fact, Tiger Woods is arguably a great example of what happens when you tempt fate and success, outside the game.  In that same vein, could one wonder if those Football gods plan to make an example of AP given his well documented personal issues?  With that to ponder, we find it absolutely stunning that he’s garnering so much fantasy football attention, going off as number one in so many mock drafts, NFL fantasy (Tier 1) ranking polls, and the like.  ‎Heck, even NFL.com has him top-ranking, how ironic is that by the way?  Everybody is jumping on the AP bandwagon!

Will Adrian Peterson put up some numbers?  Absolutely!  Will the same AP have some breakout games?  Certainly.  But will Peterson have the year (for the ages) that a majority of fantasy players are banking on?  We don’t believe so.  In this great sport we call NFL football, let’s not put the proverbial cart before the horse.  The killer, in the world of NFL predictions, is gut feeling or assumption.  Both are avid mothers of evil when making NFL predictions, so we believe.  AP is AP, no question.  But the jury is still out on Adrian Peterson, for a couple of more weeks only.  Then the world will see how wrong (or right) we may be.  Not long now.   As instinct would have it, we’re supposed to forget the off-the-field stuff and go all-in on Adrian Peterson.  Right?  But SafePicks.com cannot do such a thing, win or lose.  He’s a 30 year old back, drafted in the first round of the 2007 draft, (just like Marshawn Lynch).  For both, this is their ninth year.  Make no mistake though, Adrian Peterson was on track to becoming the best back ever to ‎run with the ball.  Then, a torn ACL, news of a child’s death, and then later, child abuse charges came and all of this put a dent on his chances of reigning supreme on the ground.  With a full year off, he is back and more determined than ever to make a point.  But tread carefully, proceed with caution.  Whether it be Lynch or another, there are better choices for our NFL Fantasy league dollars!  Good luck from SafePicks.com!

(If you want to enjoy success, there are more NFL Predictions, simply visit SafePicks.com – a bold many are there and waiting for you!)

2015 NFL Picks & Predictions From SafePicks.com

Hello everyone, here is a 2015 SafePicks User Update:

-NFL Playoffs 9-2 ATS
-NFL playoffs near-perfect ATS
-SP poolers cashed again (2014)
-College Football LTD: 194-90-8
-NFL Over/Under LTD: 236-103
-NFL Picks LTD: 3109-1367
-HIGH ROI success = $$$!
-ZERO Ads! (ALWAYS Ad-FREE!)
-Just Winning NFL & NCAAF Picks
-Over 12 years. Reliable. Trusted.

Hope to see you all at SafePicks.com… we’re fired up and ready to go!

2014 NFL Season: The Top 10 Hottest Seats In The NFL, Predictions

So as part of our offseason preparation and homework, we take a look at those that might be sitting in a ‘hot seat’ heading into regular season.   So this a SafePicks.com look at who in the NFL could potentially have the so called “hot seat” heading into the 2014 NFL Season:

1. Jason Garret, Head Coach, Dallas:  For us at SafePicks, it has to be the playoffs or bust for the Cowboys head coach.  Into his 4th season, in the final year of his contact, we just cannot forecast anything great happening in Dallas this season.  In fact, we believe the Cowboys will be lucky to make .500 this year.  Although Garret is far to blame from what goes on in Dallas (thank Jerry Jones), a 29-27 record in 4 seasons usually gets a coach axed.  In this case here, mind you, Garret could very well be relegated to a lesser role next season, (as opposed to getting the axe) given his long career in Dallas.  Let’s see. 

2. Brian Hoyer, Quarterback, Cleveland:  Battling with rookie quarterback Johnny Manziel was a challenge and a distraction too.  But Hoyer has been announced the starter for the 2014 NFL season.  Hoyer, who was 2-0 when last season ended, needs to have a winning record by the end of the first quarter pole (Week 4) or expect Manziel to get the nod. There is a reason why the Browns went out and got Manziel, it’s up to Hoyer now to prove the job should be his.  Either way, Hoyer’s seat is hot.

3. Jake Locker, Quarterback, Tennessee: ‎ This will be a do or die, or a make or break scenario for quarterback Jake Locker. Although coach Ken Whisenhunt has a way of bringing out the best from his quarterbacks, Locker needs to be far better this season than he’s ever been. The Titans declined his fifth year option for a reason, now it’s up to Locker to play well and stay healthy.

4. Joe Philbin, Head Coach, Miami:  Essentially, his team needs to make the playoffs in order for him to have a chance at saving his job.  His team cannot flounder at the end of the season neither, a strong finish is required for Philbin’s team. First year assistant coaches on board this season won’t help the cause.  Philbin has had more of a say this season, but if the Fins can’t make an entry into the playoffs, it potentially could be the end of the line for Philbin.

5. ‎Ryan Tannehill, Quarterback, Miami:  There are no two ways about it, Tannehill is also on a hot seat of some kind. He needs to improve his play considerably and enable the Dolphins to be offensively competitive. Last season, he frequently missed his targets running standard routes, either over-throwing or under-throwing to them.  If Tannehil does not substantially improve this season, the Dolphins will draft a quarterback next offseason.  So let’s hope Tannehil has a more impressive season to get him off the hot seat.

‎6. Rex Ryan, Head Coach, NY Jets:  The organization my quell any rogue ‘lame duck’ rumors, but we believe Rex Ryan is on the hot seat to deliver at least a playoff berth. The Jets missed the playoffs for a third straight year. The ground-and-pound game may not be enough to make it to the Super Bowl these days.  However, the organization has backed Ryan heading into this season – which could be a PR move or fact.   At least we’ll state this, contract extension or not, Ryan will do himself favors by getting his team into the playoffs.  A fourth year without much to show may not go over well in NY.

7. Dennis Allen, Head Coach, Oakland:  After back to back 4-12 seasons, and finishing last season with a 6-game losing streak, anything south of a season ending . 500 record could potentially spell the end for Allen. Owner Mark Davis will almost certainly pull the trigger if better results are not on Oakland’s horizon this season.

8. Chad Henne, Quarterback, Jacksonville:  Right now, Henne is supposed to start in Week 1.  However, we here at SP doubt he will finish the season.  The Jaguars drafted quarterback Blake Bortles for a reason, as we hinted before (previously in early August), this guy is the real deal in the talent department.  ‎If Henne falters, expect Bortles to get the call and give Jags fans something to rave about for years to come.  Bortles will bring much needed wins to Jacksonville, making the Jaguars relevant again.

9. Trent Richardson, Running Back, Indianapolis:  In looking back, the Colts went and traded a 2014 first round draft pick for Richardson last September.  Last season, Richardson had a seemingly non-productive year.  Richardson had 458 yards total rushing in 14 games with Indy, that simply does not cut it.  Although he will be part of a three-pronged ground game (rotation), he needs to produce to be around next season.  Until we see his results this year, Richardson sits in a hot seat.

10. ‎Rob Gronkowski, Tight End, New England:  He used to be the most productive tight end in the business.  But over the last two seasons he has seen his production decline, mostly due to injury.  To put it into perspective, his last full injury-free season was in 2011 where he had 90 catches for 1327 yards.  Last year?  He caught 39 passes for 592 yards after playing in only seven games after back and forearm surgery.  How long will it be before another injury sidelines him?  We believe it won’t be long.  Gronkowski’s production has to improve or he might potentially find himself on the way out.

Visit us at SafePicks.com, enjoy our 12th year of providing winning NFL/NCAAF Picks And Predictions!

 

SP NFL Experts: 2014 NFL Super Bowl Pick, NFL Conference Predictions And Bold Picks

SafePicks.com NFL experts deliver highly successful NFL predictions, NFL picks, and highly successful Super Bowl predictions… heading into its 12th year serving the global NFL betting community!!  Now let’s delve into our future NFL playoff predictions for the 2014-2015 NFL football season!  So check out these NFL predictions, NFL Super Bowl & NFL Conference picks for the 2014 NFL Football season.  See SafePicks.com ALL final NFL season forecasts and division winners – posted by SP, straight from the desks of our NFL betting experts:

AFC Division Winners:  New England, Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Denver
AFC WildCard Teams:  San Diego, Buffalo
NFC Division Winners:  Philadelphia, New Orleans, Seattle, Green Bay
NFC WildCard Teams:  San Francisco, Tampa Bay
Top 6 NFL NFC Teams:  Philadephia, New Orleans, Seattle, Green Bay, San Francisco, Tampa Bay
Top 6 NFL AFC Teams:  New England, Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Denver, San Diego, Buffalo
NFL potential top ‘win/loss record’ finalists for NFC:  Seattle, New Orleans
NFL potential top ‘win/loss record’ finalists for AFC:  Denver, New England
NFL ‘Surprise’ Comeback Teams (AFC) we’ll be watching (to finish better than last season):  Buffalo
NFL ‘Surprise Comeback Teams (NFC) we’ll be watching (to finish better than last season):  Tampa Bay
NFL NFC Disappointments (let-down prediction):  Dallas
NFL AFC Disappointments (let-down prediction):  Baltimore
NFL potential “Dark Horse” teams for AFC:  Cincinnati, San Diego
NFL potential “Dark Horse” teams for NFC:  Tampa Bay, St. Louis
Super Bowl Prediction (potential conference finalists – AFC):  Denver, New England, Cincinnati
Super Bowl Prediction (potential conference finalists – NFC):  Seattle, New Orleans, Philadelphia
Super Bowl Predictions (Championship Final matchup):  New Orleans vs. Denver
Our final prediction for the 2014 Super Bowl winner is:  New Orleans (as of Aug. 2014)

2014 NFL Picks & Predictions: See Past NFL & NCAAF Picks Results And 11-Year Report Card, By SafePicks.com

2014 Report Card: NFL & NCAAF Picks, Predictions And Results!
We are very proud of SafePicks.com. At SP, there is no touting nor bragging, just our pride of success!!  There are NO gimmicks and NO BULL!  We win more than we ever lose. We strive for perfection, but settle for winning success – with a very healthy R.O.I.!  SafePicks has existed for over 11 years, thanks to the loyal SP users who trust & rely on SafePicks NFL and NCAAF expert picks!  We work so hard – so you don’t have to!  When we cash-in after the weekend, most of our users do too!! See our highlights and past performance below: 

2013-2014, SafePicks.com Experts Nail The NFL Playoffs Again!  Who else went 9 – 2 ATS (with TWO, that’s right – TWO 4-0 ATS weekends) in the NFL playoffs last season? SafePicks.com correctly picked Seattle throughout the NFL Playoffs (2013-2014 NFL Football Season). So many SafePicks.com users CASHED IN! To all SafePicks.com users cashing-in: you’re welcome!!

2012-2013, SafePicks.com, NFL Predictions And The NFL Playoffs!  Who else predicted that Baltimore would dominate in the NFL Playoffs and go all the way???! SafePicks.com correctly picked Baltimore throughout the NFL Playoffs (2012-2013 NFL Football Season), correctly taking Baltimore over Indy, Denver, New England, and then San Francisco for the Super Bowl trophy! So many SafePicks.com users CASHED IN! Needless to mention, the feedback from many happy members came pouring in, thanking us, YET AGAIN!! To all SafePicks.com users cashing-in: again, you’re welcome!!

2011-2012 NFL Betting Smarts Of NFL Experts – Or Just Plain Luck? Thousands of of our loyal SafePicks.com fans enjoyed cashing-in, when SafePicks.com picked the NY Giants to be the 2011 Super Bowl champions, picking them as outright (straight up) and as point spread pick winners each of their games throughout the 2011 – 2012 NFL Playoffs, SafePicks went 9-2 (ATS) in the 2011 – 2012 NFL Playoffs! It was a great “January Bonus” for many of our users who cashed in! SafePicks.com is all about NFL Money picks and for the season, SafePicks NFL Experts finished up at 2658 – 1218 all time to date.

Money In The Bank! SafePicks.com NFL Experts Deliver In 2007-2008!  SafePicks.com correctly predicted the NY Giants to win the Super Bowl to end the 2007-08 season! Not one NFL handicapping outfit in the world could attest to that! SafePicks.com went 9-2 with NFL point spread picks in the playoffs that season. Picking NY to win it all for the 2007 – 2008 NFL season resulted in a lot of abuse from peers and media, but it left us standing tall – in the end – and our SafePicks.com users happily content!

Again! SafePicks.com NFL Experts Deliver ANOTHER Winning Super Bowl Pick: 2009-2010!  SafePicks.com correctly predicted New Orleans to be Super Bowl champions, this prediction was made and published in Week 1 – 2009!  Other than SafePicks.com, what other NFL experts predicted the Saints to win it all this past season? NONE. It PAYS to go Safe for NFL Best Bets and NFL predictions that pay – thousands of you already rely on! At SafePicks.com, it’s all about NFL money picks that pay! Cash it in! $$$$

Was It 2004 NFL Expert Betting Smarts – Or More Plain NFL Betting Luck?  As thousands of of our loyal SafePicks.com fans already know and remember quite well, two of SafePicks.com co-founders made their traditional trip down to Las Vegas in August 2004. The mission? To lay some coin on a props or proposition bet, one that paid 90-1 for the score. The proposition? An NFL futures bet that San Diego would win their AFC West division. The result? Marty and the Chargers won the AFC West division and that $1k grew 90 times! Was it NFL betting smarts or NFL betting luck? You decide. That props payoff amplified only one thing… the NFL handicapping experts at SafePicks.com know what they’re doing, and it shows as SafePicks.com has been kicking for years strong!

Although an all-time record of 2960 – 1280, (as of Feb. 2014) and enjoying a HIGH R.O.I. $$$ of winning seasons this past decade (and much more), is pretty darn great — it’s never enough… we will make it better in 2014! Count on it!

SafePicks.com NFL Handicapping Experts Past Performance: The following is a performance summary of all SafePicks.com NFL game picks (selected straight up and point spread picks) highlights – year to date, starting with last season:

2013 – 2014 SafePicks NFL & NCAAF Handicapping Record (Online):
NFL Experts Best Bets O/U: 79 – 35
Year-end Pick Accuracy (Overall): 68.9%
General Season Notes: SafePicks.com NCAAF (college football) expert picks with an end of year NCAAF best bets record of 66 – 40 – 2 (ATS). NFL Over/Under best bets: finishing at 79 – 35. NFL Playoffs: 9 – 2 ATS with two 4-0 ATS playoff weekends. Week 8 and Week 11, 6 – 0 for Over/Under. Many 5-1 outcomes in between (NFL Best Bets). Highly successful picks for the NFL playoffs with Seattle picked ATS each week, including the Super Bowl. Lifetime to date all time record at SafePicks.com (NFL Picks): 2960 – 1280.

2012 – 2013 SafePicks NFL & NCAAF Handicapping Record (Online):
NFL Experts Best Bets SU: 42-13-0
Year-end Pick Accuracy (Overall): 70.8%
General Season Notes: SafePicks.com NCAAF (college football) expert picks with an end of year NCAAF record of 59-31-4 (ATS). NFL Over/Under: finishing at 62-39-0. Final three weeks, NFL Pick Six: 14-4 overall. Season Key Highlights: Highly successful picks for the NFL playoffs with Baltimore picked each week, including Super Bowl. Week 1 and 9 results: 5-1 (NFL point spread best bet picks). Week 3 and 5 Over/Under: 6-1. Weeks 2, 3, 6, 7-11 overall results: over 69%. Several successful weekends had. SafePicks.com provides member user special discount price again. L.T.D. NFL Picks record: 2730 – 1178.

2011 – 2012 SafePicks NFL & NCAAF Handicapping Record (Online):
All NFL Experts Best Bets: 159/80
NCAAF College Football Picks (Best Bets, Point Spread): 66-38-4
General Season Notes: Season Key Highlights: NFL Playoffs 9-2 ATS (picked NY Giants through to Super Bowl), along with several high-performance (70%+) success weekends. Some of those highlights include.. Week 1 results: 12 – 4 (NFL point spread & straight up picks), 6 – 1 NFL Best Bets (ATS & SU), and 6-0 Over/Under Best Bets picks. Week 4 results: 22 – 5 NFL Best Bets season to date, 10 – 2 Over/Under Best Bets. Week 6 results: 6 – 1 Over/Under best bets picks, and 29 – 14 NCAAF ATS picks. Week 7 results: NCAAF Best Bets 6 – 0 ATS picks, Over/Under Best Bets 5 – 1, 13 – 3 (NFL point spread & straight up picks). Week 9 results: 6 – 0 NCAAF Best Bets (point spread picks). Week 11 results: 52 – 21 NCAAF Best Bets (point spread picks season to date), 6 – 0 NFL Best Bets (straight up and point spread picks). Several other successful weekends enjoyed by users, including NFL Playoffs success, going 18 – 4 overall. SafePicks.com opts for price increase – primarily due to rising costs, not due to the previous season’s success. Lifetime to date record: 2501 – 1075.

Go to SafePicks.com Past Performance to see the rest of our NFL & NCAAF Picks and Predictions performance records!

2014 Bold NFL Power Rankings, Forecasts and Predictions By SafePicks

It’s that time of year again as NFL experts, prognosticators, and the so called pundits all over the NFL landscape debate and conclude their respective 2014 NFL Power Rankings with NFL Regular season kickoff quickly approaching. At the end of the day, this is only our preliminary power rankings and anything can and will happen in the NFL. But when you’re SafePicks.com, enjoying success year in and year out, then hopefully we have put together a nice piece here.  

Although these power rankings are open to debate, one could easily make a case for half the NFL teams this year to win the Super Bowl. Rating each NFL team from one to 32 based on their chances of becoming Super Bowl champions is no easy task when you account for a ton of varying factors. SafePicks.com experts got together last week, assessed offseason acquisitions & changes, examined 2013 performance, forecasted 2014 performance, and finalized some season-ending predictions to come up with these “preseason” NFL Power Rankings. Vegas odds are subject to change, obviously. Comment at your own will.  Our money would be on any of the top 7-8 teams to win the Super Bowl in these rankings:  

1. Seattle Seahawks (Vegas odds: 6-1) – As with most Super Bowl Champions, one has to consider the “repeat” factor for a talent-rich team like this one. This should be the team to beat. They’re not the all-out favorites, but how can we not like Seattle’s chances of repeating? The Seahawks lost some players this offseason, while securing several key members of the defense. This team has a legit chance of repeating as champions in 2014.

2. New Orleans Saints (Vegas odds: 17-1) – Don’t look now, but the Saints are serious contenders once again. The Saints were one Seahawks team away from NFC championship success. But head coach Sean Payton made a bevvy of notes and followed up with some major defensive changes (upgrades) this offseason. These offseason changes could prove to be so potentially fruitful for the Saints – that they could possibly take the No. 1 seed in the NFC, making sure the playoffs go through the Superdome this time around in 2014. Their offense needs no introduction, coupled with the defense, the Saints (and Seahawks) will almost be a ‘sure thing’ week in and week out this coming NFL season.

3. Denver Broncos (Vegas odds: 6-1) – Yes, as we predicted successfully at SafePicks.com, the Super Bowl would be an utter disaster for the Broncos. But there’s a compelling case to be made that the Broncos simply had a bad day right? Some key departures from the team might have a negative impact.  However, with a re-loaded defense, then Peyton Manning back for another year, and a chip on the team’s shoulder, there’s a reason Denver’s one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. However, we’re not buying into the offseason hype just yet – and Manning is not getting any younger. Still, Denver could potentially deliver some good regular season results. We like this team situated here at number three. ‎

4. San Francisco 49ers (Vegas odds: 8-1) – The Niners where a couple of plays short of being defending back-to-back champions. Aside from some minor personnel issues, this team looks pretty good still – but maybe not as formidable as last season. Coach Jim Harbaugh reportedly wants to be paid like a guy who has won a Super Bowl? Some of the post season hoopla has gone to his head and he is now a year and a few months away from becoming a free agent. Meanwhile we believe QB Kaepernick is overpaid and slightly over-rated, and we feel that right now, the fourth spot in these rankings is best suited for the Niners heading into 2014 NFL season. This team should surely make a fourth straight playoff appearance regardless. The jury is still out though on whether or not this is a Super Bowl team.

5. New England Patriots (Vegas odds: 10-1) – They’ve been so close so many times the last several years, it would not shock anyone if this is the season New England ends up back on top. Tom Brady and Bill Belichick have to win one more before it’s all said and done, it’s this duo that keeps this team in the thick of things year in and year out. Belichick should have the right mix on defense to be viable contenders once again. On paper, this team should be able to hit the 10-win mark as sure favorites to win the division.

6. Green Bay Packers (Vegas odds: 14-1) – Aaron Rodgers must stay healthy for the Packers to have a fighting chance at success. The Packers nearly knocked off the Niners in the playoffs a season ago, and if Aaron Rodgers doesn’t get hurt in the regular season, they would have landed a better seed in the NFC playoffs, avoiding such a match-up altogether. Rodgers must play all of 2014 and the Packers would not be such a bad bet to win it all – if they can handle the other NFC contenders. There is a little uncertainty on the defensive side, but all in all, this would be the right spot to place the Pack.

7. Philadelphia Eagles (Vegas odds: 30-1) – Yes, we might get some flack on this one from our Dallas fans, but the numbers tell us a lot about this team, and especially with the quarterback for this team. Nick Foles is arguably one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL that has yet to receive his due. If he and Chip Kelly can continue to lead the Eagles to big time success on offense, the defense might have just enough for the Eagles to take it to the next level. Do not count these birds out of a conference top spot.

8. Indianapolis Colts (Vegas odds: 25-1) – Quarterback Andrew Luck was able to win a playoff game a season ago and the next step is for him to lead the Colts on a deep postseason run in his third season. The Colts will play in a division that is unsettled at best, they should easily own the top spot in the AFC South barring a calamitous injury. Depth has been added to an already good team and winning 11 games each of the last two years has Colts fans with heightened expectations. Let’s see if the Colts can take things to the next level.

9. Cincinnati Bengals (Vegas odds: 32-1) – The Bengals have done absolutely nothing to inspire confidence in the playoffs over the last three years. However, the Bengals’ defense is one of the league’s best, (only Seattle gave up less yards per play). The Bengals have the defense, now they need the offense to hold up its end of the bargain, behind $96 million dollar man, quarterback Andy Dalton. He is durable and productive – but turnover-prone. His play must improve for the Bengals to have a fighting chance.

10. Chicago Bears (Vegas odds: 25-1) – The duo of Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall are both ready to prove their offense has what it takes to win in the postseason, while Alshon Jeffery could be the next Calvin Johnson. A few defensive issues needs to be resolved. But if the Bears can get hot at the right time this year, avoid the injury bug, and if they can handle the Packers in division play, they can absolutely make it to the NFC championship game and beyond.

11. Atlanta Falcons (Vegas odds: 52-1) – This spot might seem a bit low, yes. But a healthy Falcons team was a play or two away from going to the big game the season before last. Don’t sleep on Atlanta’s trio of stars in Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Roddy White, it’s not too hard to envision them having a solid chance in the NFC South. The Falcons will shift to more of a 3-4 defense this season and this might make the difference for a Mike Smith led Falcons team desperate to go deep in the playoffs.

12. San Diego Chargers (Vegas odds: 50-1) – The Chargers have been rejuvenated by Mike McCoy and there are a lot of reasons to like San Diego starting with quarterback Phillip Rivers. The 2013 Chargers earned the AFC’s final wild card berth on the final day of the regular season, and were they ever the definition of a wild card. It was a successful first season for Chargers head coach Mike McCoy, who oversaw a club that always seemed to give itself a chance to win.

13. Arizona Cardinals (Vegas odds: 50-1) – If they can steal a game in San Francisco or Seattle and bump one of those two down in the NFC West standings, the Cardinals are potentially a major dark horse. Plus, if they make it to the Super Bowl, it will be a home game – the first in NFL history. The Cardinals have a sufficiently capable defense, they need a consistent defense to have even a chance with the likes of the Niners and Seahawks to contend with in the NFC West.

14. Carolina Panthers (Vegas odds: 40-1) – The Seahawks won a title with an elite defense a season ago, so why can’t the Panthers do it as well? Some would argue that Cam Newton (who is quickly approaching his contract renewal talks) might be a better QB than Russell Wilson. Ron Rivera loves to silence his doubters, like we all saw last season, but the Panthers will be fighting in a very tough NFC South division.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers (Vegas odds: 32-1) – Big Ben’s already won two, so he knows how to get it done in January and February. Wouldn’t it be fitting for the Steelers to get their third title in the last nine years when no one’s really talking about them anymore? The Steelers have missed the playoffs for two straight seasons under coach Mike Tomlin. While no one has sounded the alarm just yet, another less-than-stellar campaign from the Steelers might potentially instigate a new chapter of change in Pittsburgh.

16. New York Giants (Vegas odds: 40-1) – The Giants could absolutely come out of nowhere and win their third title in recent history. There have been some magical runs on the way to two Super Bowl titles for the Giants under coach Tom Coughlin. With a little help from defense and special teams, we have to believe that if the Giants’ offense, along with both Eli Manning and Victor Cruz, can have success – this could potentially prime New York for one more run at the ultimate prize. They will be in tough against division foes like the Eagles though. The Giants have the potential to be real contenders though.

17. Kansas City Chiefs (Vegas odds: 50-1) – Fresh off an all-time playoff collapse and a brutal offseason that saw their roster get gouged, it’s easy to be down on the Chiefs going into 2014.  However, head coach Andy Reid has a ton of experience as a playoff coach, but we don’t envision Kansas City playing postseason football this year. The Chiefs provided sound & stout play on their way to a wild card berth. However, the Chiefs had peaked early. They won just two of their final eight games, including a 45-44 playoff loss at Indianapolis marked by Kansas City blowing a 28-point third-quarter lead. In the end, the Chiefs fit here in our NFL power ranking structure. The Chiefs were 10-0 against clubs who missed the postseason but just 1-6 against playoff teams, something that will need to get fixed if the Chiefs are to have any chance.

18. Buffalo Bills (Vegas odds: 75-1) – We’re optimistic this season for the Bills.  Mind you, going from 6-10 last season to 10-6 this season requires lots of help, talent, and luck. But with all the tough luck the Bills have had recently, maybe they’ll catch a break in 2014?  We actually are leaning towards believing so.  We think fans would be happy with a .500 year, as a deep playoff run would shatter all expectations but anything can happen in the NFL. With a new owner coming on board soon, there is lots of pressure on this team to find success, from the top on down.

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Vegas odds: 75-1) – The Bucs quietly got a ton better over the last few months, and Lovie Smith has a plethora of playoff coaching experience, but Tampa Bay winning it all is tough to truly see.  Unless quarterback Josh McCown proves he should have been an All-Pro over the years, it might not be happening.  But we do believe that Lovie brings a sense of stability and brand back for the Bucs. This team could surprise many this season, so conservatively, we like this generous spot in our rankings.

20. Dallas Cowboys (Vegas odds: 48-1) – With all the Tony Romo jokes and punch lines, it’s easy to forget the QB has talent – but recent back surgery and other ailments might have decreased his stock value. Dallas has found so many crazy ways to lose over the last handful of years, maybe 2014 is finally the season it all comes together for Dallas?  Doubtful. They will need lots of help in the NFC East and as long as Jerry Jones is the head man, any Cowboys progress will likely be hindered. On paper, this is simply not a great team, let alone a good enough team to make the playoffs.

21. Detroit Lions (Vegas odds: 40-1) – Maybe a change at the head coaching position was what the Lions needed to take the next step. Jim Caldwell didn’t have a ton of playoff success in Indy, but he’s a coach who knows how to win football games. This roster is full of talented players. But we’re taking a wait and see approach in a division that will see the Bears and Packers vying for the division crown.

22. Miami Dolphins (Vegas odds: 50-1) – If absolutely everything went right for the Dolphins, with a new GM and hopefully a new locker room culture, they could make a run at a title. The problem is that quarterback Ryan Tannehill is going to have to take a major step forward, something we’re not convinced will happen. He is entering this season with 32 starts, 15 wins, and a 79.1 QB rating, time for Tannehill to produce or else.

23. St. Louis Rams (Vegas odds: 50-1) – Making the playoffs is going to be a very difficult task. The Rams’ most likely chance would be to finish third in the NFC West, steal a No. 6 seed, and go on a fairy tale playoff run. Anything can and will happen in the NFL right?  But overall, the Rams will need lots of help to get into the post season.  Stranger things have happened in the NFL though. ‎The Rams should have the best defensive end tandem in the league (Robert Quinn and Chris Long). There is no need to review coach Jeff Fisher’s resume, while bringing back Greg Williams to run the Rams’ defense might just be what the doctor ordered for the the team along with this coaching duo (as we reflect back on the ol’ Titans days).

24. New York Jets (Vegas odds: 70-1) – We’re not convinced the quarterbacks on this roster will take the NY Jets to the promise land, that and playing in a division owned by the Pats, makes us place the NY Jets somewhere in this area code. Sorry Jets fans, just going with what the sheets tell us. Let’s wait and see.

25. Cleveland Browns (Vegas odds: 70-1) – He’s been the talk of the offseason recently; and wouldn’t it be fitting for Johnny Football (Johnny Manziel) to make the Browns football relevant again with a crazy run to an AFC North title?  The Hoyer/Manziel quarterback battle is not over yet mind you. We’re not betting on a big playoff run, but the Browns have enough talent to warrant such a conversation and a 25th spot here.

26. Baltimore Ravens (Vegas odds: 40-1) – Some will probably hate our assessment here.  But things just look different for Baltimore, a team that has already lost so much talent from their Super Bowl team of 2012.  With so much turnover effect still being felt, our faith in Baltimore and ultimately quarterback Joe Flacco is not very high.  The Ravens failed to make the playoffs last year and they’re facing a degree of transition thanks to last year’s post-Super Bowl retirements and free-agency defections. Some of the offseason behavior from Flacco, with his typical nonchalant ways, was concerning too.

27. Tennessee Titans (Vegas odds: 90-1) – The Titans will need a lot of things to come together to make a playoff run. Former coach Munchak posted a 6-12 record, in three seasons, against division opponents. That record must change for the Titans to have a chance.  New head coach Ken Whisenhunt might succeed eventually in Tennessee, but this year it’s not going to happen, at least not in our books.  As well, quarterback Jake Locker is in a make or break season. If Locker plays well and the newly installed defense can play with consistency, maybe the Titans become division contenders? Let’s see.

28. Houston Texans (Vegas odds: 60-1) – The Texans are an intriguing pick, as J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney should be one of the top defensive duos in the league, no question.  Also, let’s not forget Houston was nearly the No. 1 seed in the AFC in 2012 before a late season collapse.  Still, a ton of questions at quarterback remain and it will probably doom this team from the get go.  Simply put, a lack of a superior quarterback will hold most teams back.

29. Jacksonville Jaguars (Vegas odds: 250-1) – There’s no doubt they had a really good draft and Gus Bradley has his team trending in the right direction – but there’s a reason Jacksonville is the biggest long-shot to win the Super Bowl.  But based on our assessment only, this is the right place for the Jaguars as they continue on rebuilding for a couple more seasons to come.  However, do not be too shocked if this team finishes at .500, because we won’t be.  Read our prior post, remember Blake Bortles, we assessed his credentials back in June, this guy will be the real deal if he (and likely will)‎ gets the nod for the Jags.

30. Washington Redskins (Vegas odds: 55-1) – What the Redskins do this season is all dependent on one person, that would be RG3. If Robert Griffin III plays at his Baylor / 2012 level again, the Redskins will remain a viable contender. Mind you, his backup (Cousins) is a good quarterback too. Realistically, this team will be finishing in the 5-11 to 8-8 range.

31. Oakland Raiders (Vegas odds: 155-1) – The Raiders actually got a little bit better over the last three months without a lot of people noticing.  While they won’t win the Super Bowl in 2014, we don’t doubt they’ll be a much improved football team, but how much improved remains to be seen.  Some veteran additions to the roster should help steer the team in the right direction, but for now, that’s about all we expect this season and a 31st spot on our preseason rankings.

32. Minnesota Vikings (Vegas odds: 120-1) – Without a true franchise quarterback, and unless Adrian Peterson rushes for 2,500 yards (not happening), the Vikings simply are not going to make the playoffs, let alone win the Super Bowl. There’s an all- out re-build process going on in Minnesota, and maybe when the city hosts the game in 2018, they’ll be closer to winning it? Let’s see. For now, we will put the Vikes in this spot, lucky to make. 500.

Go to SafePicks.com to see our over 11 years of success and to find out who we predict to win it all in the 2014 NFL season!