Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints, NFL Week 4 – SafePicks (2019) NFL Prediction

By Bo Jamison, for SafePicks.com.  Sept. 26, 11:44AM EST

A sweet NFC prime time showdown will take place for this coming SNF matchup, (Sunday Night Football).  When the schedule was made, many had this game circled on their calendars, no doubt.  This would have easily been the game of the week!  With the Saints missing Drew Brees at quarterback though, only a little of that prime time limelight-shine has dulled – this still should be a GOOD prime time game.   Make no mistake, the Saints and Cowboys are gearing up for this marquee showdown at the Superdome, a game that features New Orleans as a 2.5-point home underdog.

Amazingly, the New Orleans Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against the Cowboys, which is such a glaring stat.  The Saints are also an impressive 16-3 SU in their last 19 home games overall, under coach Sean Payton.  However, as we know, those stats are a result of having Drew Brees commanding the post under center.  We’ll be the first to tell you, the Cowboys are slowly shaping up to be a formidable Super Bowl contender, but the cupcake teams they have beaten already, (Giants, Redskins and Dolphins) are nothing to get too excited about at this early juncture.  So the Saints should prove to be the real first true test for the Cowboys, on the road.  The Cowboys will also go up against “arguably” one of the league’s best coaching minds in Sean Payton.

America’s Team opened around a field-goal favorite for this prime time game, and the early plays narrowed that spread as low as -2.5 at some select sport books.  If you can get Dallas under a field goal like we did, it would be a lock-in because it should be a good bet. The books have already seen a large amount of public play on the Cowboys and predict the most popular team in football to draw lopsided money versus a Saints team playing without their star QB.

Although we ALL know “on any given Sunday” anything can and will happen – the Saints need only maintain & mitigate their division positioning (a.k.a. “hang on”) until their star in Brees returns.  Also, not to look ahead, but the Saints face their division rival Buccaneers for a critical NFC South showdown next week.

We would love to back the great story that is the Saints and the comeback of Saints backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, (who was minutes away from a leg amputation in the summer of 2016).   As much as we always root for the feel-good stories, we cannot bet with emotions.  Tempting for some.  Even though QB backup Bridgewater was solid in a win at Seattle this past Sunday, this spread will likely creep to Dallas -3.5 by game time.  Low spread, possibly a tight game… and Brees is expected to lead the pregame chant for a raucous 75,000+ crowd at the Superdome.  Still, we are backing the Cowboys -2.5 to win this one.  Good luck.

SafePicks LTD Record: 3722 – 1544
SafePicks NFL Week 3 (last week): 45 – 15 (across the board)

SafePicks has been serving winning NFL Predictions since 2003.  Success does pay – even 16 years later.  No nonsense.  No fluff.  No bull.  Ad free.  Just NFL predictions and free NFL picks, get free NFL picks here.

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